نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
1 دانشجوی دوره دکتری مطالعات منطقهای دانشگاه جامع امام حسین (ع)
2 مدیر گروه پژوهشهای مرکز تحقیقات استراتژیک مجمع تشخیص مصلحت نظام
عنوان مقاله [English]
A base of the complex situation of Syrian developments is the intervention of regional and international powers in the events of Syria. About twenty actors play a direct role in the developments in Syria. Even some actors such as Russia, Iran, Hezbollah, Lebanon, the United States and Turkey have direct military presence in the country. The Zionist regime also sometimes carries out air strikes in Syria. Others provide direct financial support and weapons to anti-Syrians. Undoubtedly, the logical analysis of the future of Syria is not possible without identifying the goals and behavior of each of these actors. The most appropriate method for analyzing the behavior of the actor is the game theory that evaluates the actions of each actor in proportion to the behavior of other actors. In this paper, multiple actors were first categorized into seven groups depending on their goals and plans; then each behavior was considered with consideration of how much influence the behavior of other actors. In the end, for the tangible evaluation of the effect of each actor's behavior on the other actor, the MACTOR software has been used. The software has deployed seven spectators based on the three goals of "preserving Bashar al-Assad" Terrorism and "Syria's territorial integrity".